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PMI同经济有关统计指标之间具有较强的相关性。我们曾经做过定量分析与研究发现,制造业PMI同工业经济有关统计指标之间的相关系数均达到70%以上。因而通过对PMI走势变化的研究,可以观察和分析经济发展形势。一、从PMI看2009年经济发展形势从PMI走势和变化趋势来看,2009年我国经济发展呈现如下特点:(一)综合指数PMI重新站上50%分界线,反映出宏观经济稳步回升,复苏势头基本确定
There is a strong correlation between PMI and economic statistics. We have done a quantitative analysis and research found that the correlation coefficient between the manufacturing PMI and the relevant statistical indicators of the industrial economy reached more than 70%. Therefore, through the research on the change of PMI, we can observe and analyze the situation of economic development. First, from the PMI economic development situation in 2009 From PMI trends and trends in view of the economic development in China in 2009 showed the following characteristics: (a) Composite Index PMI re-stand on the 50% dividing line, reflecting the steady macroeconomic recovery, recovery The momentum is basically ok