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基于中国-新西兰即将启动FTA升级谈判背景,选取WITS数据库中2002年~2015年两国贸易数据,通过分析出口相似度指数、贸易结合度指数、格鲁贝尔-劳埃德产业内贸易指数、布雷哈特边际产业内贸易指数、显示性比较优势指数及综合贸易互补性指数等指标,研究了两国双边贸易的竞争性与互补性。结果表明,中国和新西兰的产品在世界及主要细分市场的出口相似度较低、双边贸易结合度逐年增加,两国经贸合作空间较大;两国贸易产品更多呈现产业间特征,且优势产业类目没有重叠,双边贸易表现出较强的贸易互补性。两国应充分利用双边贸易互补性、抓住FTA升级谈判有利契机,不断加强经贸合作。
Based on the background of China-New Zealand’s upcoming FTA escalation negotiations, select the trade data of the two countries in the WITS database from 2002 to 2015, and analyze the export similarity index, trade integration index, Grubell-Lloyd’s intra-industry trade index, and mine Hart’s Marginal Intra-industry Trade Index, Display Comparative Advantage Index, and Comprehensive Trade Complementarity Index were used to study the competitiveness and complementarity of bilateral trade between the two countries. The results show that the similarities between China and New Zealand’s products in the world and major market segments are relatively low, and the degree of bilateral trade integration is increasing year by year. There is more room for bilateral economic and trade cooperation; the two countries’ trade products exhibit more inter-industry features and their advantages There are no overlapping industrial categories and bilateral trade shows strong trade complementarity. The two countries should make full use of bilateral trade complementarity and seize the favorable opportunity for the FTA escalation negotiations to continuously strengthen economic and trade cooperation.