目前,我国水电资源主要集中在西南地区的云南、四川、西藏三省区,三省区水电资源蕴藏极其丰富。虽然近年来西部水电装机大幅度增长,但受宏观经济下行影响,西南区域负荷需求出现负增长,丰水期大量水电弃水,整个水电行业面临产能过剩和市场疲软的新挑战。与此同时,高成本、低电价的矛盾将成为制约未来水电发展的瓶颈。造成大面积弃水的主要原因有三点。一是电力供需矛盾突出,电力消纳形势严峻。西南地区产业多为当前的产 At present, China’s hydropower resources are mainly concentrated in the three provinces and autonomous regions of Yunnan, Sichuan and Tibet in the southwest region. The hydropower resources in the three provinces and autonomous regions are extremely rich. Although the hydropower installed capacity in the western region has risen sharply in recent years, due to the macroeconomic downturn, the demand for load in the southwest region shows a negative growth. During the wet season, a large amount of hydropower was discarded. The entire hydropower industry is facing new challenges of overcapacity and weak market. At the same time, the contradiction between high costs and low prices will become a bottleneck restricting hydropower development in the future. There are three main reasons for causing large areas of abandoned water. First, the prominent contradiction between supply and demand of electricity, power consumption situation is grim. Southwest industry and more for the current production