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在充满开放性和不确定性的世界风险社会中,风险导致的危机和突发事件层出不穷、起因隐晦且相互关联,传统的应急管理组织模式面临巨大挑战。突发事件应急管理的主体不再仅由政府行政机构承担,而应建立起多方参与的社会合作机制。在新的治理模式中,具有开放式架构和自适应能力的决策支持体系成为应急管理的重要基石。面对风险社会的不确定性、反射性与易错性的共同影响,应急管理的决策范式有必要做出新的修正,并使其决策支持体系的组织和构建发展出不同以往的另一种模式。同时,这一应急管理决策支持体系也成为协作网络的重要支撑,并支持和促进应急管理社会合作机制的创新与发展。
In a world-risk society full of openness and uncertainty, crises and emergencies caused by risks emerge in an endless stream. Due to the obscure and interconnected causes, the traditional emergency management organization models face enormous challenges. The main body of emergency management of emergencies is no longer only borne by the government administrative agencies, but should establish a multi-participatory social cooperation mechanism. In the new governance model, a decision support system with open architecture and adaptive capabilities is an important cornerstone of emergency management. In the face of the common influence of uncertainty, reflectivity and error-proneness in risk society, it is necessary to make new amendments to the decision-making paradigm of emergency management and make the organization and construction of its decision support system develop different from the past mode. At the same time, this emergency management decision support system has also become an important support for the collaborative network and supports and promotes the innovation and development of the emergency social cooperative mechanism.