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2012年“十一黄金周”结束后,社会各界就收费公路免费政策对假日旅游经济拉动作用展开讨论,众说纷纭.在收集2008-2012年间我国大陆28个省级行政区在“十一黄金周”期间的旅游收入,测算出因“免费政策”引发的2012年“十一黄金周”旅游收入的额外增长比、旅游收入额外增长量对实际旅游收入的贡献率的基础上,定量分析了收费公路免费政策对假日旅游经济的拉动作用.研究结果表明:“免费政策”对全国假日旅游经济具有一定的正向拉动作用,但强度有限;拉动作用在各省区间的差异较大,将近半数省区存在逆向拉动作用,其中,广西的正向拉动作用最大,额外增长比和贡献率分别达到了1.40和22.38%;上海的额外增长比最低(-1.04),导致其旅游收入呈现少量的负增长;甘肃的贡献率最低,为-20.34%.
After the end of “Eleventh Golden Week” in 2012, various sectors of the community started discussions on the role of toll road free policies in stimulating the holiday tourism economy. There are many opinions on this issue. During the period from 2008 to 2012, 28 provincial- Travel “during the” Week “period to calculate the extra growth ratio of tourism revenue due to ” Free Policy “in 2012 ” 11 Golden Week “, and the contribution rate of extra tourism revenue growth to actual tourism revenue , The quantitative analysis of the toll highway free policy on the holiday tourism economy stimulating effect.The results show that: ”free policy " to the national holiday tourism economy has a certain positive effect, but the intensity is limited; pull in the role of provinces With a big difference, nearly half of provinces and autonomous regions have a reverse pulling effect. Among them, Guangxi has the largest positive pull-out effect, with an extra growth ratio of 1.40 and an added contribution of 22.38% respectively; Shanghai has the lowest extra-growth rate of -1.04 Tourism revenue showed a small amount of negative growth; Gansu’s lowest contribution rate was -20.34%.