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随着改革开放的不断深化以及经济水平的不断提升,旅游收入也在不断增加。本文在江苏省2000年-2015年《国民经济和社会发展统计公报》中旅游收入、旅游人数及国民生产总值数据的基础上,针对16年来江苏省旅游收入、旅游人数及国民生产总值的变化趋势进行分析,同时利用1982年邓聚龙教授提出的灰色系统理论,实证得出江苏省旅游收入、旅游人数与国民生产总值之间的灰色关联度系数分别是0.69、0.92,即旅游人数、旅游收入与国民经济生产总值基本是同步变化的,进而对江苏省旅游业的发展提出进一步的建议。
With the continuous deepening of the reform and opening up as well as the continuous improvement of the economic level, tourism revenue is also on the rise. Based on the data of tourism revenue, tourists and GNP from 2000 to 2015 in “Statistical Communiqué of National Economy and Social Development”, this paper aims at analyzing tourism revenue, tourist population and GNP of Jiangsu Province in 16 years At the same time, using the gray system theory proposed by Professor Deng Ju-long in 1982, the gray correlation coefficient between tourism income, tourism population and GNP in Jiangsu Province is respectively 0.69 and 0.92, that is, the number of tourists, the tourism The income and the GDP of the national economy basically change synchronously, and then make further suggestions on the development of tourism in Jiangsu Province.