基于VAR模型的海运指数波动对我国进口铁矿石价格的影响

来源 :江西社会科学 | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:natural_jack
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近年来,随着黑色冶金业突飞猛进的发展,我国成为全球最大的铁矿石需求国。然而,我国并没有在世界铁矿石市场中取得相应的定价权。研究发现,两大主流海运指数均会明显影响我国进口铁矿石价格,造成铁矿石价格的波动。因此,我国应该从提高海运能力,完善海运衍生品市场,提高产业集中度,选择更优的合作方等方面入手,从而改变铁矿石市场现状,进而增强市场控制力。 In recent years, with the rapid development of the black metallurgy industry, our country has become the world’s largest iron ore demand country. However, our country has not obtained the corresponding pricing power in the world iron ore market. The study found that the two major mainstream seaborne indices all significantly affect the price of imported iron ore in our country, causing fluctuations in iron ore prices. Therefore, China should start from the aspects of improving shipping capacity, perfecting maritime derivatives market, improving industrial concentration and choosing a better cooperation partner, so as to change the status of iron ore market and further enhance market control.
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