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小客车限购是许多大中城市发展中所面临的问题。针对中签比例过低和中签者弃号等突出问题,本文提出摇号间接收费和使用“等价人数”改变中签概率两种改进方法。政策模拟实验表明,改进之后能够较快地实现摇号池出清,且收费是更有效的手段。
The purchase of minibuses is a problem facing many large and medium-sized cities. In view of the outstanding problems such as the too low proportion of winning lottery and the abandonment number of winning lottery, this paper puts forward two improved methods of indirect lottery of Yaohao and use of “equivalent number” to change probability of winning lottery. Policy simulation experiments show that after the improvement, the pool can be cleared more quickly and charging is a more effective means.