举世公认:远东是当今全球经济发展最有生机的地方。在八十年代以前的20年间,世界的国民生产总值(GNP)平均增幅为3.4%,而东亚地区的增幅则为6.8%,高出整整一倍。远东经济的发展模式与以往20年相比,将显现出三大变革趋势:一、在经济发展格局上,将从“雁行模式”转向“双火车头模式”。“雁行模式”原本是日本一位学者在本世纪三十年代提出来的一个观点。它的原始含义是指在日本本国的经济发展中,可以由某一项支柱产业(如三十年代的钢铁工业)的发展,带 It is universally acknowledged that the Far East is the most dynamic place in the global economic development today. In the two decades before the 1980s, the world’s GNP increased at an average rate of 3.4%, while in East Asia it was 6.8%, double the figure of a whole. Compared with the past two decades, the development pattern of the Far East economy will show three major trends of change: First, it will shift from “geese flying mode” to “dual locomotive mode” in the economic development pattern. The Geese Model was originally a view put forward by a Japanese scholars in the thirties of this century. Its original meaning means that in Japan’s own economic development, the development of a pillar industry (such as the steel industry in the 1930s)