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本文在肥西县苗木技术整体推广环境的综合分析基础上,以实证分析方式研究了学者冯鹏志提出的“技术创新社会行动系统”中社会环境因素对农户采纳苗木技术的影响。文章采用Logistic模型回归分析方法,证明了农户特征因素“受教育程度”、社会物质资源因素“农户与县城的距离”、社会制度模式因素“与朋友、熟人交流技术”和社会文化背景因素“生产时间规划”共同构成最优拟合回归方程,对农户采纳苗木技术具有极显著且重要的影响;“年龄”、“土地相对适宜性”、“参加培训次数”、“技术难易认知”、“地位认知”等9个因素,对农户采纳苗木技术具有显著影响,但不重要;“男女能力观念”因素对技术采纳的影响既不显著,也不重要。
Based on the comprehensive analysis of the overall popularization environment of nursery stock in Feixi County, this paper studies the influence of social environmental factors on adoption of nursery stock technology by farmers by empirical research conducted by Feng Pengzhi, a scholar named “Social Innovation System of Technological Innovation”. The article uses Logistic regression model to prove that the characteristics of farmers “education level ”, social material resources “the distance between farmer and county ”, social system “factor The factors of social and cultural background ”production time planning “ together constitute the optimal fitting regression equation, which has a very significant and important impact on farmers’ adoption of seedling technology; ”age “, ”land relative suitability The number of training times “, ” technical difficulty cognition “, ” status cognition "and other 9 factors have a significant effect on farmers adoption of seedling technology, but not important; The impact of technology adoption is neither significant nor significant.