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国内棉花期货现货价格近期均呈下跌态势,不断刷新近五年的历史低位。但实际也存在积极因素,目前主要有两大利好。一是美国农业部供需报告利好,近期美国农业部下调产量预期外棉暴涨,国内郑棉受其影响,也出现止跌反弹现象。据美国农业部的8月份全球产需预测,全球方面2015/16年度全球棉花库存减少65.3万吨。二是棉花市场供应面压力将减少,据从全国十三个产棉省区的主产棉县抽样调查显示,2015年全国棉花实际种植面积预计为5264万亩,较2014年减少20%;全国棉花总产550万吨,同比减少14%。另据中国海
Domestic cotton futures spot prices have shown a downward trend in recent years, and constantly refresh the record low for nearly five years. However, there are also positive factors in practice. At present, there are mainly two major positive benefits. First, the US Department of Agriculture supply and demand report is good, the recent USDA cut output is expected to surge in foreign cotton, Zheng cotton affected by its domestic, also appeared to stop falling rebound. According to the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s August global production and demand forecast, global cotton inventories decreased by 653,000 tons in 2015/16. Second, there will be less pressure on the supply side of the cotton market. According to a sample survey of the major cotton producing counties in 13 cotton-producing provinces across the country, the actual area planted for cotton in China in 2015 is estimated at 52.64 million mu, a decrease of 20% from 2014; Cotton output 5.5 million tons, down 14%. According to China sea