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本文基于一个动态两部门模型,从财政支出与经济区域相结合的角度,运用我国31个省(自治区、直辖市)1997-2011年的相关数据对财政支出的动态外溢性进行经验研究。研究结果表明,我国财政支出外溢因子的动态变化及外溢弹性的程度存在显著的区域差异性。因此,需要根据三大区域的经济发展差异,有效配置财政资源,提升财政支出效率,从而实现我国财政本身以及社会经济的可持续发展。
Based on a dynamic two-sectoral model, this paper uses the data from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) of China from 1997 to 2011 to analyze the dynamic spillover of fiscal expenditure from the perspective of the combination of fiscal expenditure and economic area. The results show that there is a significant regional difference in the dynamic change of spillover factor and the degree of spillover elasticity. Therefore, we need to effectively allocate financial resources and improve the efficiency of fiscal expenditure according to the differences in economic development in the three major regions in order to achieve the sustainable development of the financial sector as well as the social economy in our country.