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货币供求与利率的相互作用是凯恩斯货币理论的精髓,该理论较好地解决了20世纪30年代美国大萧条时期的若干经济问题。然而,它能否同样解决经济快速发展的中国所面临的问题呢?以往的研究多将凯恩斯理论与其他理论对比,在政策运用方面进行相关研究;本文则直接利用实证数据,切入利率调节在前十年中国经济中的有效性分析,发现结果并不尽如人意。为此,本文提出应将汇率等多种经济政策综合应用,相机抉择,以解决实际问题。
The interaction between money supply and demand and interest rate is the essence of Keynesian theory of money. This theory solves some economic problems during the Great Depression of the 1930s in the United States. However, whether it can solve the same problems facing China’s rapid economic development? Previous studies mostly compared Keynesian theory with other theories and carried out relevant research on the use of policies. In this paper, direct use of empirical data, Ten years of analysis of the effectiveness of the Chinese economy, the results are not satisfactory. Therefore, this paper proposes that the comprehensive application of various economic policies such as the exchange rate should be chosen by the camera to solve practical problems.