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替代品的经济性一旦突破,石油消耗降低,它就会长期存在。我们每个人可能都接受过石油还有多少年用完的信息。正如总有人预言机器将导致人失业,石油要用完的预言也更新了无数次。——1914年,美国矿务局预测,本国的石油储量只能用10年。——1926年,联邦石油保护部门估计美国石油的供应量只能再维持7年。——1939年,内政部说石油能用13年,12年后改口说还能再用13年。
Once the economy of alternatives breaks through and oil consumption is reduced, it will persist. Each of us may have had the message of how many years oil still runs out. Just as there are always people who predict that the machine will lead to unemployment, the prophecy of running out of oil has also been updated countless times. In 1914, the United States Bureau of Mines predicted that its own oil reserves can only be used for 10 years. - In 1926, the federal oil protection department estimated that the supply of U.S. oil could only last another seven years. - In 1939, the Interior Ministry said the oil can be used for 13 years, and 12 years later it can be used for another 13 years.