著名经济学家吴敬琏论当前我国经济热点问题及对策

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一、靠投入撑起的速度早晚要撞南墙当前经济热点中的热点便是东南亚金融危机,这是1997年亚洲和世界经济发展中的重大事件。在很短时间内,金融风暴席卷东南亚国家,它严重影响着1997年乃至今后当一段时间亚洲经济的发展。动荡的原因很多,极为复杂,人们看法不一,但从根本上说是东南亚各国政策出现失误,导致经济运行失衡,出现了“泡沫经济”,东南亚金融危机再次证明,搞“泡沫经济”是不能使一个国家繁荣起来的。吴敬琏说,早在多年以前,一些经济学家就已经指出东南亚国家经济发展存在问题,因为政府对经济过多地干预,实行的是政府主导型的市场经济,由财政出钱,或向国外贷款,或依靠金融机构的支撑,结果造成投资效率下降,效益下高。实际上是东南亚国家经济增长方式有问题,即高速度是靠大量的投入撑起来的。经济增长的数量上去了,但质量较差,实践证明,靠投人实现经济增长是不可能长久的,早晚要撞南墙。 First, it is the Southeast Asian financial crisis that the hotspot in the current economic hotspot to hit the south wall sooner or later by the speed of investment propped up. This is a major event in the economic development of Asia and the world in 1997. In a very short period of time, the financial turmoil swept through the Southeast Asian countries and seriously affected the economic development of Asia for some time to come in 1997 and beyond. There are many reasons for the turmoil. They are extremely complicated and people disagree. Basically, however, there are mistakes in the policies of various countries in Southeast Asia. As a result, the economy is running out of balance and a “bubble economy” has emerged. The financial crisis in Southeast Asia has once again proved that it is impossible to engage in “bubble economy” Make a country prosperous. Wu Jinglian said that as early as many years ago, some economists have already pointed out the problems in the economic development of Southeast Asian countries because the government intervened in an excessive economy and implemented a government-led market economy with money from the government or loans from other countries , Or rely on the support of financial institutions, resulting in lower investment efficiency, high efficiency. In fact, there are problems with the mode of economic growth in Southeast Asian countries. That is, the high speed is supported by a large amount of investment. The number of economic growth has gone up, but the quality is poor. Practice has proved that it is impossible to achieve long-term economic growth through investment, and will sooner or later have to hit the south wall.
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