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中国对于投资周期的政策取向和美国对于贸易赤字的政策取向将决定金融市场和全球经济在2005年的前景。如果中国和美国的经济不断膨胀,全球经济泡沫将比2004年更大,不然就是经济剧烈的下跌。
China’s policy orientation on the investment cycle and the U.S. policy toward the trade deficit will determine the prospects of the financial markets and the global economy in 2005. If the economy of China and the United States continues to expand, the global economic bubble will be larger than in 2004 or it will be a dramatic economic downturn.