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自2013年菲律宾对中国单方面强制启动南海仲裁案以来,南海仲裁案仲裁庭于2015年10月29日作出了关于管辖权和可受理性的裁决,11月30日结束了实体问题和剩余管辖权与可受理性问题的审理。菲律宾的核心诉求是否定中国在南海“断续线”及其水域内的历史性权利的主张。本文通过对菲律宾关于“断续线”的诉求进行分析,结合仲裁庭在初步裁决和实体问题审理中的情况,以期判断仲裁庭关于南海“断续线”实体裁决的可能走向。
Since the Philippines unilaterally and unilaterally imposed the South China Sea arbitration case against China in 2013, the arbitration tribunal of the South China Sea Arbitral Tribunal made a ruling on jurisdiction and admissibility on October 29, 2015, ending the substantive issue and remaining jurisdiction on November 30 Right and admissibility of the hearing. The core appeal of the Philippines is to deny China’s claim of historic rights in the South China Sea and its waters. This article analyzes the appeals of the Philippines on the “stub lines” and combines with the arbitration tribunals’ preliminary rulings and substantive issues in order to judge the possible direction of the Arbitral Tribunal’s decision on the SCS.