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印度国大党于2004年重新上台并即将完成两届任期,这被一些观察家认为是其实力恢复的表现。通过对2004年、2009年大选中国大党的选民支持模式、地方势力范围和意识形态及组织建设的考察与分析,可以发现印度国大党的发展主要获益于简单多数选举制下地方政党竞争的分散。由于无法应对地方上以特定集团为基础的反对党的竞争,国大党在几个重要邦仍将处于边缘位置,这将影响其在联邦政党政治中的地位;国大党以保留政策为核心的针对穆斯林的肯定性行动,使其世俗主义路线无法与反对党达成共识;国大党的组织建设也未能走出家族政治、内部派系斗争和组织涣散的局面。这些都决定了印度国大党要想恢复其传统的独大型政党地位仍然非常困难。
The Indian National Congress took power again in 2004 and is about to complete its two-term term, which some observers see as its resurgence of strength. Through the investigation and analysis of the electoral support model, local sphere of influence and ideology and organizational construction of the Chinese big party in the general election in 2004 and 2009, we can find that the development of the Indian National Congress largely benefits from the competition of local parties under the simple majority voting The dispersion. Due to the inability to cope with local group-based opposition parties, the Congress Party will remain marginalized in several important states, which will affect its position in the federal party politics. The Congress Party will focus on its reservation policy The affirmative action against Muslims made it impossible for the secular line to reach a consensus with the opposition party. The organizational building of the Congress party also failed to get out of the struggles with clan politics, internal factionalism and organization. All these factors determine that it is still very difficult for the Congress of great powers to regain its traditional dominance.