中国经济今年前三季度增长较快,各界人士预测全年 GDP 可能在9%～9.3%之间,但对中国经济明年的走势,仍然有不同看法。是通缩还是通胀,是“软着陆”还是快速下滑,颇有争议。我个人认为,尽管有让物价走低的因素,但中国经济不会陷入通缩。而且,在关心这些问题时,更应关注中国经济正在进行结构调整这一大背景。 China’s economy grew rapidly in the first three quarters of this year, people from all walks of life predicted the annual GDP may be between 9% and 9.3%, but there are still different views on the trend of China’s economy next year. Is deflation or inflation, is “soft landing ” or rapid decline, quite controversial. Personally, I personally think that despite the factors that make prices lower, China’s economy will not fall into deflation. Moreover, while paying attention to these issues, we should pay more attention to the background of the ongoing structural adjustment in China’s economy.