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伊拉克有自己的特殊情况:一个统治了24年的政权刚刚倒台,一场由美英发动的战争刚刚结束,这个国家的局势与海湾、中东及整个伊斯兰世界息息相关。所有这些使伊拉克人成为一个更为复杂的群体。几位专家谈到这个问题时,分析了目前在这个国家有着特殊意义的三类人———其中有两类还是外国人。选择这三类人来谈论,是因为:其一,8月29日,伊拉克什叶派圣城纳杰夫发生爆炸事件,伊拉克什叶派最高精神领袖哈基姆在爆炸中遇害。伊拉克有60%的老百姓是什叶派穆斯林,这个事件对伊拉克局势产生重大影响;其二,自8月以来的几次爆炸事件表明,伊拉克的抵抗运动越发严重,参与的人员越发复杂。美国国防部副部长沃尔福威茨认为,阿拉伯“圣战者”已渗透到伊拉克;其三,美军在伊拉克战争中速战速胜,但没能速战速决,可以说美军在伊拉克遇到了意想不到的困难。他们错过了收买人心的头三个月黄金时期,又将如何面对接下来的关键的三个月?—————主持人手记
Iraq has its own special case: a regime ruled for 24 years has just fallen, and a war started by the United States and Britain has just ended. The situation in this country is closely linked with the Gulf, the Middle East and the entire Islamic world. All of this makes Iraqis a more complex group. When discussing this issue, several experts analyzed three categories of people who have special significance in this country at present - two of them are foreigners. The three types of people to choose to talk about because: First, on August 29, Iraq’s Shiite holy city of Najaf explosion, al-Qaeda in Iraq, the highest spiritual leader Hakim killed in the explosion. Sixty percent of the Iraqi people are Shi’ite Muslims. This incident has a significant impact on the Iraqi situation. Secondly, several bombings since August show that the resistance movement in Iraq is getting more and more serious, and the number of participating personnel is more and more complicated. U.S. Deputy Defense Minister Wolfowitz believes that the Arab “jihadist” has infiltrated Iraq. Thirdly, the U.S. military has fought a quick victory in the war in Iraq but failed to make a quick fix. It can be said that the U.S. military has encountered the problem in Iraq Unexpected difficulties. They miss the golden three-month buy-in period and how will they face the next three crucial months?