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2007年年初铜价在底部盘整2个月,随着中国铜消费旺季的来临、秘鲁矿工罢工、美国经济数据改善和美元贬值等利好因素的刺激,LME铜价持续上扬至8000美元/吨一带;但随后铜价在“次贷”危机恶化、全球的罢工风潮和中国因素等共同影响下,围绕着7000美元/吨~8000美元/吨区间展开了长达半年的“W”型大震荡行情;最后,美国经济持续恶化、中国消费未达到预期和铜供应短期过剩等持续利空,使铜价走出一波快速下跌行情。
At the beginning of 2007, the price of copper was consolidating at the bottom for two months. LME copper prices continued to rise to around USD8,000 / tonne as the Chinese copper consumption season approached, the Peruvian miners went on strike, the U.S. economic data improved and the dollar depreciated. However, Under the common influence of the global “strike wave” and the “Chinese subprime mortgage crisis”, the price of copper fluctuated around USD7,000 / tonne to USD8,000 / tonne for a period of more than six months, causing the “W” type large shocks ; Finally, the U.S. economy continued to deteriorate, the unrealized consumption in China and the short-term excess of copper supply continued to make the copper prices fall out of a wave of rapid decline.