Risk management modeling and its application in maritime safety

来源 :船舶与海洋工程学报(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:GWstars
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
Quantified risk assessment (QRA) needs mathematicization of risk theory. However,attention has been paid almost exclusively to applications of assessment methods,which has led to neglect of research into fundamental theories,such as the relationships among risk,safety,danger,and so on. In order to solve this problem,as a first step,fundamental theoretical relationships about risk and risk management were analyzed for this paper in the light of mathematics,and then illustrated with some charts. Second,man-machine-environment-management (MMEM) theory was introduced into risk theory to analyze some properties of risk. On the basis of this,a three-dimensional model of risk management was established that includes: a goal dimension;a management dimension;an operation dimension. This goal management operation (GMO) model was explained and then emphasis was laid on the discussion of the risk flowchart (operation dimension),which lays the groundwork for further study of risk management and qualitative and quantitative assessment. Next,the relationship between Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) and Risk Management was researched. This revealed that the FSA method,which the international maritime organization (IMO) is actively spreading,comes from Risk Management theory. Finally,conclusion were made about how to apply this risk management method to concrete fields efficiently and conveniently,as well as areas where further research is required.
其他文献
本文就急性及慢性汞中毒的常规治疗及日常护理进行了综述,并就如何预防提出了措施.
中医药治疗肺癌失眠的研究文献以及相关中医治疗方案相对较少,对肺癌患者失眠的中医药疗效评价也缺乏统一标准.完善这方面的工作,可以为后续研究者和临床工作者提供支撑.
目的:探讨腹部手法固定在电子结肠镜检查中的实际效果.方法:将300例结肠镜检查病人随机分为实验组(142例)和对照组(158例),实验组采用加做手法固定的操作方法进行检查,对照组
目的:探讨中西医结合治疗慢性便秘的临床疗效.方法:选取我院2012年5月-2013年8月收治的40例慢性便秘患者,另选取同期40例患者作为对照组,对照组服用西沙必利治疗,观察组在对
目的:分析我县2009-2014年手足口病流行病学特征,为制定有效的防控措施提供依据.方法:运用描述性流行病学方法对宁海县 2009-2014年手足口病疫情资料进行统计分析.结果:2009-
目的:探讨还少胶囊联合维生素E治疗少弱精子症的疗效与安全性.方法:90例少弱精子症患者随机分为两组,治疗组45例,口服还少胶囊及维生素E;对照组45例,单口服维生素E,各组均在
目的:探讨分析患有乙型肝炎合并肺结核的患者采用拉米夫定进行治疗的效果.方法:将在本院进行治疗的乙型肝炎合并肺结核86例患者分成试验组和对照组各43例,对照组进行保肝、抗
根据向日葵菌核病在晋西北地区的发生状况和为害特点,探索出该病在该地区的三种类型以及侵染条件和流行规律,有针对性地提出向日葵菌核病在晋西北地区的十种综合防治措施。
本文通过对稻茬免耕栽培油菜,并建立固定田块,待油菜收后,再免耕栽培水稻的试验,以此来探讨不同母质发育的土壤适应性和对土壤理化性状的影响,为油菜和水稻免耕栽培提供详实
This article applied the self-similarity of fractal theory to the soybean leaf with the aid of powerful iterative computation ability of computer,analyzed the generation principle of IFS code in the i