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本文采用辽宁省从1990年到2014年的地区生产总值、出口总额和进口总额的时间序列数据,建立三者之间动态关系的向量自回归模型(VAR),对对外贸易与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。结果表明:辽宁省对外贸易与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系;进口和出口均对经济增长具有促进作用。
In this paper, we use the time series data of Liaoning Province from 1990 to 2014 on the total GDP, total exports and total imports, establish a vector autoregressive (VAR) model of the dynamic relationship among the three, and study the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth The relationship between the empirical analysis. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between foreign trade and economic growth in Liaoning Province; both import and export have a positive effect on economic growth.