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陈乐一教授近年来一直从事经济周期阶段的研究,体现这项成果的新著《我国经济周期阶段与持续繁荣》已由人民出版社(2007年1月版)出版。该书的中心线索是对当前我国经济周期阶段进行分析,作者所指的经济周期阶段就是指经济是位于繁荣、衰退、萧条、复苏的哪一个阶段,或者说是位于收缩抑或扩张阶段,波峰抑或波谷。“因此,判断宏观经济形势就很有必要研究经济周期阶段”(该书第66页,下同)。该书从本质上说是一部宏观经济分析的著作,其目的是分析判断当前我国经济形势,为政府的宏观经济政策提供依据。
Professor Chen Leyi has been engaged in the research of economic cycle in recent years. The new book “The Period of Economic Cycle in Our Country and Continued Prosperity” reflecting this achievement has been published by People’s Publishing House (January 2007 edition). The book’s central thread is the analysis of the current stage of our economic cycle, the author refers to the economic cycle stage refers to the economy is located in the prosperity, recession, depression, recovery of which stage, or is located in the contraction or expansion stage, the peak or trough. Therefore, judging the macroeconomic situation, it is necessary to study the stage of the economic cycle "(page 66 of the book, the same below). The book is essentially a book on macroeconomic analysis whose purpose is to analyze and judge the current economic situation in our country and provide the basis for the government’s macroeconomic policy.