本文论述了苏联、美国、日本等工业发达国家科学技术预测工作的进展及特点,在对工业发达国家与发展中国家科学研究活动特征比较的基础上,分析了我国科学技术预测的侧重点和应解决的主要问题。最后,作者提出了建立我国中长期科学技术发展预测系统的设想、具体的工作目标、研究内容及研究方法。 This paper discusses the progress and characteristics of scientific and technological forecasting in industrialized countries such as the Soviet Union, the United States and Japan. On the basis of comparison of the characteristics of scientific research activities between industrialized and developing countries, this paper analyzes the emphasis and application of our scientific and technological forecast Solve the main problem. Finally, the author proposes the idea of ​​establishing a medium- and long-term science and technology development forecasting system in our country, the specific work objectives, research contents and research methods.