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尽管我国宏观经济存在诸多问题,实体经济持续不振的信号也逐步被放大,但中国经济不会崩溃。这里有三个因素要重视:一是中国的城市化水平不高,还不到55%,这意味着我国城市化进程中带来的投资与消费等空间还很大,增长的动力依旧存在;二是中国是一个地域空间广阔的大国,东、中、西梯度差异有序,国内各地每一轮消费升级和生产效率改进,都能带来巨大且较为长期的产出增长;三是中国有着巨大的市场消费能力,这是中国开启全球化红利的利器。
Although many problems exist in China’s macro-economy and the signal of continued sluggishness in the real economy has gradually been amplified, China’s economy will not collapse. Here are three factors to pay attention to: First, the level of urbanization in China is not high, less than 55%, which means there is still much room for investment and consumption in the process of urbanization in our country and the momentum of growth still exists; China is a vast country with vast geographical space. The gradient of East, Central and West is very different and orderly. Each round of domestic consumption upgrading and production efficiency improvement can bring about huge and relatively long-term output growth. Third, China has a huge Market spending power, which is a weapon for China to open a global dividend.