国际金融危机以来,全球经济仍处于震荡调整期。发达国家经济目前正处于不均衡复苏状态,总体仍未摆脱衰退迹象。金融危机与债务危机相互交织,多边协调机制影响力下降同区域协作加强形成强力反差,发达国家同发展中国家的矛盾日益突显,全球治理充满矛盾。鉴于此,世界经济中长期的震荡和调整是不可避免的。虽然发展中国家也普遍受到金融危机蔓延的影响,但新兴经济体仍保持了较好的增长势头,全球经济力量对比和经济格局已发生明显变化。无论从长周期 Since the global financial crisis, the global economy is still in a period of shock adjustment. The economies of developed countries are currently in an unbalanced recovery and the overall signs of the recession have not yet been fully resolved. The financial crisis and the debt crisis are intertwined, the influence of the multilateral coordination mechanism is declining, and regional cooperation is intensified to form a sharp contrast. The contradictions between the developed countries and the developing countries have become increasingly prominent. The global governance is full of contradictions. In view of this, the long-term global turmoil and adjustment in the world economy are inevitable. Although developing countries are also generally affected by the spread of the financial crisis, emerging economies have maintained a good momentum of growth. The global economic strength contrast and the economic pattern have undergone significant changes. No matter from long cycle