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从人力资本、资源禀赋、机会成本、制度约束、政策扶持等方面分析了我国集体林地流转的影响因素;基于理论分析,采用辽宁、湖南、江西、福建、云南、陕西和甘肃7省3500个农户样本数据,选取相应变量构建二元Logit计量经济模型,分别对影响农户林地转入和林地转出的因素进行实证分析。林地转入模型结果表明,在户主个人特征和家庭生产资源禀赋方面,户主是否为干部、户主个人年收入、家庭留守劳动力、家庭林地面积对林地转入具有正向影响;家庭非林收入比重、家庭耕地面积对林地转入具有负向影响。在制度约束方面,林权证、林权纠纷和采伐指标等对林地转入具有显著影响。在林业扶持政策方面,造林补贴、林权抵押贷款和森林保险均对农户林地转入行为具有正向影响。林地转出模型结果显示,防火、防虫情况能否满足林业生产需要以及采伐指标、造林补贴和森林保险在不同置信水平和不同方向上影响农户林地转出行为。
Terms of human capital, natural resources, opportunity cost, institutional constraints, policy support and other analyzes the influencing factors of Collective Forest Land; based on theoretical analysis, using Liaoning, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian, Yunnan, Shaanxi and Gansu 7 Province 3500 households Sample data, select the appropriate variables to build a binary Logit econometric model, respectively, on the impact of farmers into forest land and woodland out of the factors of empirical analysis. Woodland into the model results show that the head of household and personal characteristics of household production resource endowments, whether headed for the cadres, head of household annual income, the family left behind labor, the family of forest land into woodland area has a positive effect; the proportion of household income of non-forest, Family cultivated land has a negative impact on the transfer of woodland. In terms of institutional constraints, forest tenure, forest rights disputes and harvesting indicators have a significant impact on the transfer of forest land. In terms of forestry support policies, afforestation subsidies, forest property right mortgage loans and forest insurance all have a positive impact on the transfer of farmers’ forest land. The results of the forestland conversion model show that the fire prevention and pest control conditions can meet the demand of forestry production, as well as the harvesting targets, afforestation subsidies and forest insurances affect the peasant households’ forest conversion in different confidence levels and directions.