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自1998年以来,中国镍的消费需求出现了戏剧般的快速增长。从2002年到2003年,中国初级镍的消费需求迅速由9.06万吨增加到12.50万吨,增长了约33%。2004年上半年,中国对初级镍的消费需求有所减少。尽管其后中国人民银行(PBOC)在国内货币需求迅速增长和通胀压力不断加大的情况下,提高了银行业的存贷款利率。但是,到了年末中国初级镍的消费需求仍恢复了上升趋势。当然,如果中国人民银行进一步提高银行利率,势必会使中国的经济发展有所减慢,最终仍将给中国镍和不锈钢的消费需求带一些不利影响。
Since 1998, the demand for nickel in China has seen dramatic and rapid growth. From 2002 to 2003, the demand for primary nickel in China rapidly increased from 90,600 tons to 125,000 tons, an increase of about 33%. In the first half of 2004, China’s consumption of primary nickel declined. Although the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) subsequently raised the deposit and lending rates of banks in the context of the rapid growth of domestic money demand and increasing inflationary pressures. However, by the end of the year, consumer demand for primary nickel in China still recovered its upward trend. Of course, if the People’s Bank of China further raises bank interest rates, it will inevitably slow down China’s economic development and will eventually bring some negative impacts on the consumption demand of China’s nickel and stainless steel.