利用模型方法预测了不同年份平均高潮位数据和平均低潮位数据,利用地理信息系统方法分析了未来沙洲潮间带湿地的空间分布。研究结果表明:(1)在渤海沿山东水域,未来的沙洲潮间带湿地将形成于莱州湾的西部和南部。(2)莱州湾西部、南部沙洲潮间带湿地形成之后,将经历由条带状沙洲潮间带湿地到不对称环状沙洲潮间带湿地的演变过程。(3)未来在莱州湾西部、南部沙洲潮间带湿地的形成,将有助于东营、潍坊获得湿地的生态效益和盐田、养殖池塘的经济效益。 By using the model method, the average tide level data and the average low tide level data of different years were predicted, and the spatial distribution of wetland in the sand bank in the future was analyzed by GIS. The results show that: (1) In the Shandong waters along the Bohai Sea, the future Shazhai intertidal wetlands will form in the western and southern Laizhou Bay. (2) After the formation of the intertidal wetlands in the west and south of the Laizhou Bay, the evolution from the strip-shaped sandbar intertidal wetlands to the asymmetrical ring-shaped sandbar intertidal wetlands will be undergoing. (3) In the future, the formation of intertidal wetlands in the western and southern Shazhou of Laizhou Bay will help Dongying and Weifang to obtain the ecological benefits of wetlands and the economic benefits of salt fields and aquaculture ponds.