目前国际上对中国经济前景的看法有点趋向两极化,有些人认为中国经济会很好,甚至成为带动东亚或世界经济发展的力量,但有些人则认为中国经济即将崩溃。对中国经济发展会有两极化看法的主要原因之一,是人们常忽略掉整体国际经济环境及一国总体资源的限制,而由少数个体的案例,以及近期有限时间所表现的趋势,简单地把它们推广到全经济,或者是延伸到长期的未来。中国到目前为止和四小龙一样是 At present, the international view on China’s economic prospects is somewhat polarized. Some people think that China’s economy will be very good and may even become the driving force for economic development in East Asia or the world. However, some people think that the Chinese economy is about to collapse. One of the main reasons for the polarization of China’s economic development is that people often neglect the overall international economic environment and the overall resource constraints of a country. However, from the case of a few individuals and the trend manifested in a limited period of time in the recent past, To promote them to the whole economy, or extended to the long-term future. China is as same as four dragons so far