今年10月22日,意大利拉奎拉法院大法官裁定在学术界享有盛誉的6名地震学家和1名前政府官员“过失杀人”罪名成立,并判处其6年监禁。这一判决随即引起巨大争议,争议的核心不外于:准确预测地震在技术上不具备可行性。对于没有预测到的地震,不应该由地震学家来买单。 On October 22 this year, the court judge in L’Aquila, Italy, ruled that six seismologists and one former government official who were prestigious in academia had been convicted of “manslaughter” and sentenced to six years’ imprisonment. This decision immediately led to a huge controversy, the core of the controversy is: accurate prediction of the earthquake is not technically feasible. Seismologists should not pay for unforeseen earthquakes.