论文部分内容阅读
预测结论依赖于以下因素在预测期的变动 预测考虑的因素 中国GDP增长和城镇居民家庭人均可支配 收入年均增长; 中国城镇人口年均增长; 中国城镇住宅折旧率; “农转非”住宅的比例。 预测结论 人均面积及年均改善率 城镇住宅存量,增量 (注:所谓“农转非”住 宅,是指在我国城市化过程 中,农村(镇)或城市边缘的 非城市住宅,随着行政区划 变动,随农业人口转变身份, 而转化为城市住宅。这部分 住宅的比例是很高的,否则 无法解释我国城市住宅存量 的历史变动。)
Predictive conclusions depend on the following factors to be considered in predicting changes in forecast period. China’s GDP growth and average annual growth of per capita disposable income of urban households; average annual growth of urban population in China; depreciation rate of urban residential houses in China; Residential ratio. Estimated area per capita and average annual improvement rate Urban housing stock, incremental (Note: The so-called “non-agricultural” non-urban housing, refers to the process of urbanization in China, rural (town) or urban edge of non-urban housing, with With the change of administrative divisions, with the agricultural population changing their identities, they will be transformed into urban dwellings whose proportion is very high, otherwise the historical changes of urban dwelling houses in our country will not be explained.