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铁路客运站最高聚集人数传统计算方法采用静态公式计算,忽略了车站功能布局、客流组织方案与最高聚集人数的互动影响。在研究旅客最高聚集人数形成机理的基础上,提出并证明3个规律,揭示最高聚集人数影响因素的作用规律、最高聚集人数的周期特性和出现时间;通过对15万条现场统计数据的拟合分析,提出旅客提前到站时间分布密度函数;运用车站客流组织仿真系统,研究提出车站最高聚集人数的仿真计算方法,并采用北京南站数据进行验算。结果表明,该方法可为车站方案设计、运营管理方案编制提供参考。
The traditional calculation method for the maximum aggregate number of railway passenger terminals uses the static formula to calculate, ignoring the interactive influence of station functional layout, passenger flow organization scheme and maximum aggregate number. On the basis of studying the forming mechanism of the maximum number of passengers, three rules are proposed and proved to reveal the law of the influential factors of the maximum number of agglomerations, the periodicity of the highest number of agglomerations and the appearance time. By fitting 150,000 field statistics Analyzes and puts forward the passenger density distribution function of arrival time ahead of time. By using station passenger flow simulation system, this paper studies the simulation calculation method of the maximum number of stations, and uses the data of Beijing South Railway Station for checking calculation. The results show that this method can provide reference for program design and operation management plan of station.