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由于治理全球金融危机的扩张性政策刺激,中国的宏观经济形势自2009年11月开始由通货紧缩向通货膨胀转变。原材料价格、农产品价格、股价、房价急速上扬,这些使人明显地感受到前段时间的经济衰退正在演变成资产经济泡沫和通货膨胀。在这种背景下,本文回顾中国经济理论界对通货膨胀的研究,探讨当前外汇储备过高和产能严重过剩形成通货膨胀压力的机制。最后,就如何缓解当前的通货膨胀压力提出了初步建议。
As a result of the expansionary policies that govern the global financial crisis, China’s macroeconomic situation has changed from deflation to inflation since November 2009. The raw material prices, agricultural prices, share prices, and the rapid rise in house prices have clearly made people feel the economic recession of the previous period is evolving into an asset economy bubble and inflation. Against this background, this article reviews the studies of inflation in China’s economic theorists and explores the current mechanism of inflationary pressure caused by the current high foreign exchange reserves and serious overcapacity. Finally, we put forward some preliminary suggestions on how to alleviate the current inflationary pressures.