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本文对所构建的拓展出口引力模型进行随机前沿方法测算了江苏省对“一带一路”沿线国家的出口,并估计了诸多因素对双边出口的影响程度,由此确认了江苏省出口的大致特征。江苏出口贸易呈现出低效率的现实,表明其贸易阻力因素较大,随着世界经济的复苏与世界贸易环境的改善,江苏出口潜力依旧巨大。对于更好地维持和促进江苏出口质和量的提升,本文认为应当提高内部经济规模和经济发展水平,更为妥善地处理双边贸易关系,增进双边贸易开放度和消除贸易壁垒。
In this paper, the stochastic frontier method for expanding export gravity model is constructed to calculate the export of Jiangsu Province to the countries along the “Belt and Road” and to estimate the impact of many factors on the bilateral export. Thus, the export of Jiangsu Province is confirmed feature. Jiangsu’s export trade has shown the reality of low efficiency, indicating that its trade resistance factor is large. With the recovery of the world economy and the improvement of the world trade environment, the export potential of Jiangsu remains huge. In order to better maintain and promote the quality and quantity of Jiangsu’s exports, this paper argues that the internal economic scale and level of economic development should be improved, the bilateral trade relations should be handled more properly, the openness of bilateral trade should be enhanced, and the trade barriers should be eliminated.