世界历史波澜壮阔,大国兴衰构成了其中重要的篇章。长期以来,不知有多少学者和政治家呕心沥血去探寻其中的逻辑线索,产生了多少启迪今天的著述宏篇和丰富实践。然而,大国兴衰又是难有最终答案的难解之谜,这不仅在于问题本身具有的复杂性,而且也由于世界在变化,历史在进步,不同国家兴衰的轨迹不可能简单重复。由此而来,有关大国兴衰的探讨也就永远不会 The magnificent history of the world and the rise and fall of great powers constitute an important chapter of the book. For a long time, I do not know how many scholars and politicians worked hard to find out the logical clues among them, and gave rise to many enlightenment macro articles and rich practices of today. However, the rise and fall of a great nation is a mystery of the difficulty of having the final answer. This is not only due to the complexity inherent in the issue itself, but also because the world is changing and history is improving. The rise and fall of different countries can not simply be repeated. As a result, the discussion on the rise and fall of big powers will never be possible