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本文主要从劳动力成本的角度对中美经济关系进行了深入探讨,结果发现:随着中国社会保障体系的逐步健全、劳动力市场的不断完善、劳动力增速的放缓、技术进步和资本深化等多种因素的出现,中国的劳动力成本将会继续上升,加之人民币升值等不利因素影响,中国出口会面临严峻挑战。短期内,中国的相对低劳动成本优势仍然会保持,所以尽管美国经济发生衰退,对中国进口和投资会减少,这会减少中美贸易逆差,但不会太多。
This article mainly discusses the economic relationship between China and the United States from the perspective of labor cost. The result shows that with the gradual improvement of China’s social security system, continuous improvement of labor market, slowdown of labor force growth, technological progress and capital deepening, etc. With the emergence of various kinds of factors, labor costs in China will continue to rise. Coupled with unfavorable factors such as the appreciation of the renminbi, China’s exports will face severe challenges. In the short term, China’s relatively low labor cost advantage will still be maintained. Therefore, despite the recession in the United States, its import and investment in China will decrease, which will reduce the trade deficit between China and the United States, but not too much.