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基于浙江省区域经济人均收入数据,采用核密度函数和马尔科夫分析法,对区域经济收入分布的动态演进过程进行了分析。结果表明,浙江区域人均收入分布特征有别于全国或省区层面上的收入分布特征:浙江区域收入分布整体上呈现单峰、偏态的分布形态,且区域间收入差异呈现扩大的趋势。区域间的状态转移矩阵显示,收入状态的流动性较低,仅在相邻的状态之间转移,难以实现状态间跨越式转移。在经济的长期收入均衡状态中,收入分布分散于四种类型状态空间,其中,不发达地区将占主要比重,不会出现区域经济趋同现象,收入差距会有进一步扩大的趋势。
Based on the data of per capita income of regional economy in Zhejiang Province, the dynamic evolution of regional economic income distribution is analyzed by using kernel density function and Markov analysis. The results show that the distribution of per capita income in Zhejiang is different from the distribution of income at the national or provincial level. The distribution of income in Zhejiang shows a single peak and skewed distribution as a whole, and the income disparity among regions shows an expanding trend. Interregional state transition matrix shows that the income status of the liquidity is low, only the transfer between adjacent states, it is difficult to achieve leapfrog transition between states. In the equilibrium state of long-term income, the distribution of income is dispersed in four types of state space. Among them, the underdeveloped areas will account for the major proportion, the regional economic convergence will not occur, and the income gap will further expand.