战役全域空间内战场损伤的产生及分布是典型的非确定性难题。透过战场环境、装备配置、战术动作、受损程度等具体的确定性因素,把握其共性的特点和一般规律,利用概率统计方法进行仿真,是未来战争维修决策研究的前提和基础。提出以局部正态分布累加法拟合武器装备在战场上的空间分布,Эрланга分布拟合装备的战场损伤程度,解析战场损伤的随机过程,建立仿真模型;并以坦克师阵地防御战役中的一次战斗为例进行了计算机仿真,检验了模型的实用性。 The formation and distribution of battlefield damage in the battlefield are typical non-deterministic problems. Through the specific deterministic factors such as the battlefield environment, equipment configuration, tactical actions and damage degree, it is the premise and foundation of future research on war maintenance decision to grasp the common features and general laws and to simulate with probability and statistics method. The distribution of weapon equipment on the battlefield was fitted by the method of local normal distribution and cumulative distribution. The Эрланга distribution fitted the degree of damage of the battlefield, the stochastic process of battlefield damage was analyzed, and the simulation model was established. At the same time, Fighting as an example, a computer simulation was conducted to test the practicability of the model.