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2011年11月天然橡胶市场走势延续了震荡偏弱的格局。11月上旬,欧洲债务问题间歇性爆发,日本对泰国汽车厂的损失反应有所放大,拖累天然橡胶市场震荡回落;后期产胶国出台稳定胶价的措施,市场获得支撑,但是反弹略显乏力,维持了近2周的横盘整理格局。11月沪胶指数月度跌幅为8.36%,从技术角度分析市场走势呈现上下两难的局面。进入12月,市场利多因素有所增加,基本面和宏观面压力都略显缓和,尤其全球流动性的注入和天然橡胶产胶国的稳价政策有利于天然橡胶政策底的巩固,尽管欧债危机仍可能间歇性干扰市场,但预计12月天然橡胶市场整体表现会略好于11月,或略微呈现震荡偏强的格局,下方支撑位为24500元,上方阻力位为28800元。
In November 2011, the natural rubber market continued its weak concussion pattern. In early November, the debt crisis in Europe intermittently broke out. Japan’s response to the loss from Thailand’s auto factories was enlarged, which dragged down the natural rubber market shocks. After the rubber-producing countries issued the measures of stabilizing rubber prices, the market gained support but the rebound was slightly weak , Maintaining nearly two weeks of sideways pattern. November Hujiao index dropped 8.36% monthly, from a technical point of view of the market trend shows up and down the dilemma situation. Into December, the market bullish factors have increased, the fundamentals and macro-level pressures are slightly eased, in particular, the injection of global liquidity and the natural rubber-producing countries, the policy of stabilizing the natural rubber policy is conducive to the consolidation of the end, despite the European debt The crisis may still intermittently disrupt the market, but the natural rubber market in December is expected to overall be slightly better than in November, or slightly stronger shock pattern, below the support level of 24,500 yuan, above the resistance of 28,800 yuan.