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猪肉是我国最主要的肉类消费产品,生猪价格的波动与广大居民的生活紧密相关。本文分析了活猪价格波动的特点,并从供求、需求和成本三方面分析了影响猪价的因素,认为主要原因是周期性生产供应与季节性需求之间的不平衡、不同步以及刚性成本上涨。进而分析了现行生猪产业调控政策目标取向以及实施效果,最后从稳定生产、强化信息预警和完善调控预案三个方面提出相应的政策建议。
Pork is the most important meat consumer product in our country. The fluctuation of hog price is closely related to the life of the general public. This paper analyzes the characteristics of the price fluctuation of live pigs and analyzes the factors that affect the pig price from the three aspects of supply and demand, demand and cost. The main reason is the imbalance, unsynchronization and rigid cost between the periodic production supply and seasonal demand rise. And then analyzes the current goal of the regulation and control policy of pig industry and its implementation effect. Finally, we put forward the corresponding policy recommendations from three aspects: stabilizing production, strengthening information early warning and improving control plan.