联合国１月９日发表２００３年全球经济预测报告。报告指出，受生产能力过剩、资产价格被高估、投资者信心不稳和宏观经济失衡等不利因素的影响，全球经济在今年乃至今后更长一段时期内将难以恢复强劲增长，今年经济增长率预计２．７５％。并指出若海湾爆发战事，世界经济复苏 The UN released its 2003 global economic forecast on January 9. The report pointed out that under the influence of unfavorable factors such as overcapacity, overvalued asset prices, investor confidence and macroeconomic imbalance, the global economy will find it difficult to resume strong growth this year and beyond. This year, the economic growth rate Estimated 2.75%. And pointed out that if a war breaks out in the Gulf, the world economy will recover