论文部分内容阅读
将观测到的房地产市场需求冲击区分为真实需求冲击和噪声影响,利用噪声实物资产理论分析需求估计值的性质,在实物期权理论上建立房地产开发投资决策模型并求解,进而通过数值模拟分析噪声对房地产开发调控政策的影响,得出结论:如果房地产市场过热,政府要么不调控,要调控一定要措施严厉;规范市场交易秩序,市场信息公开、透明对房地产市场的健康稳定发展意义重大;只要干预措施正确,政府的调控政策就是必要和有效的.
The observed real estate market demand impact is divided into the real impact of demand and noise impact, the use of noise real assets theory analysis of the nature of demand estimates, the real option theory to establish real estate development investment decision-making model and solution, and then through numerical simulation of noise pairs Real estate development and control policies, concluded: If the real estate market is overheated, the government either does not control, to be controlled must be strict measures; regulate the order of market transactions, open market information, transparent and healthy development of the real estate market is of great significance; as long as the intervention Measures are correct, the government’s control policy is necessary and effective.