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经济周期,也称商业周期,是贯穿于经济发展史或商业发展史的经济现象和经济问题,因此,关于经济周期的理论研究也贯穿于整个现代经济学理论发展的历史。经济周期在不同的历史阶段呈现出不同的特征和诱因,不同历史时期的经济周期理论也就呈现出不同的视角和分析重点。在古典经济学、新古典经济学、凯恩斯主流经济学、20世纪80年代以来经济学发展的不同时期,经济周期理论纷呈,而关于经济周期的实体经济诱因和虚拟经济诱因的探究无疑是理论发展的一条重要线索,把握这条线索有助于我们分析全球化背景下的经济周期问题。
Economic cycle, also known as business cycle, is an economic phenomenon and economic issue that runs through the history of economic development or business development. Therefore, theoretical research on the economic cycle also runs through the history of the development of modern economic theory. The economic cycle presents different characteristics and incentives in different historical stages. Different periods of economic cycle theory also show different perspectives and analysis focuses. In classical economics, neoclassical economics, Keynesian mainstream economics, different periods of economic development since the 1980s, theories of economic cycles are numerous, and the exploration of the real economic incentives and the fictitious economic incentives of economic cycles is undoubtedly the theoretical development This important clue helps us to analyze the economic cycle in the context of globalization.