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2007年前三季度,中国经济增长速度平稳较快,居民收入实现较快增长,消费品市场繁荣活跃,投资结构有所改善。但贸易顺差规模增长依然过快,流动性过剩问题依然突出,通货膨胀压力明显加大,房地产价格持续上涨。随着加强和改善宏观调控措施的政策效果逐步显现,预计四季度消费将继续保持较快增长,固定资产投资在高位增长基础上略微回落,外贸出口增速和外贸顺差增幅将明显回落;经济增长偏快的势头将得到一定程度的抑制,消费价格上涨的势头将有所放缓。宏观经济政策的基本取向,应该继续防止经济从偏快转向过热,实行稳健的财政政策和适度从紧的货币政策。
In the first three quarters of 2007, China's economy grew steadily at a fast pace with a rapid increase in resident income, an active consumer market and an improved investment structure. However, the scale of trade surplus is still growing too fast, the problem of excess liquidity is still prominent, the inflationary pressure is obviously increased, and the real estate prices continue to rise. With the policy effect of strengthening and improving macro-control measures gradually emerging, consumption is expected to maintain rapid growth in the fourth quarter. Investment in fixed assets will decline slightly on the basis of high growth. The growth rate of export trade and the growth of foreign trade surplus will obviously drop. Economic growth The fast momentum will be restrained to some extent and the momentum of rising consumer prices will slow down. The basic orientation of macroeconomic policies should continue to prevent the economy from shifting from overdeveloped conditions to overheating, implement sound fiscal policies and moderately tight monetary policies.