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能源经济环境模型为能源经济环境综合评价及宏观政策影响等研究提供了重要的分析手段。本文分析了能源经济环境模型中广泛应用的三种能源经济环境模型,C G E模型、技术模型和混合模型。依据文献资料,重点分析了模型发展方向,涵盖了诸多层面,如开发综合评价模型、细化重要部门、处理不确定性问题等。最终将基本模型能力建设的强化工作提了出来,积极融入国际间合作。
The energy economic environment model provides an important analytical tool for the comprehensive evaluation of the energy economy environment and the impact of macroeconomic policies. This paper analyzes three models of energy economic environment, C G E model, technical model and hybrid model, which are widely used in the energy economic environment model. Based on the literature, this paper focuses on analyzing the development direction of the model and covers many aspects, such as developing a comprehensive evaluation model, refining important departments, and handling uncertainties. In the end, the reinforcement work on the capacity building of basic models will be brought forward and will be actively integrated into international cooperation.