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国家对小作物产业发展越来越重视,2009年农业部和财政部将食用豆列为50个农产品现代农业产业技术体系建设之一。绿豆作为我国人民的传统豆类食物,是日常生活中必不可少的食物。研究绿豆的价格波动,对于消费者有重要意义,对于绿豆种植区域的农户也有重要作用,同时,对于绿豆产业的发展起到重要的指导作用。现利用HP滤波法对绿豆价格的长期及短期趋势进行分析,同时利用ARIMA对绿豆的价格进行预测。
The state attaches more and more importance to the development of the small-crop industry. In 2009, the Ministry of Agriculture and the Ministry of Finance listed food beans as one of the 50 agricultural product modern agricultural industrial technology systems. Mung beans, as the traditional legumes of our people, are indispensable foods in daily life. Studying the price fluctuation of mung bean is of great significance to consumers and also plays an important role in the farmers in mung bean planting areas. At the same time, it plays an important guiding role in the development of mung bean industry. HP filter method is now used to analyze the long-term and short-term trend of mung bean prices, while the use of ARIMA mung bean prices forecast.