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近年来光纤通信的发展十分迅速,但是有些人对其前景感到困惑。2000年IT行业泡沫经济,使光纤通信的生产规模过大,生产产品过剩,许多小型通信公司倒闭。还有人认为:光纤通信的传输能力已经达到10Tbps,目前基本够用,而且现在大干线建设已经基本完善,光纤通信技术没有多大的发展空间。但我认为,光纤通信技术还有很大的发展空间,主要是:光交换、光纤到家庭FTTH方面会有较大的发展。本文主要对光纤技术基本介绍及讨论光纤通信的发展趋势和市场。
The development of optical fiber communication has been very rapid in recent years, but some people are puzzled by its prospect. The bubble economy in the IT industry in 2000 made the production scale of optical fiber communications too large, overproduced products and the closure of many small telecommunications companies. Some people think that: the transmission capacity of optical fiber communications has reached 10Tbps, the current basic enough, but now basically completed the construction of large mainframe, optical fiber communication technology is not much room for development. However, I think there is still much room for development of optical fiber communication technologies. The main ones are optical switching and optical fiber to home FTTH. This paper mainly introduces and discusses the development trend and market of optical fiber communication.