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随着吉林省高校的持续扩招,吉林省区域内经济持续增长。然而,高校招生规模变化与经济增长之间的因果关系仍待检验。本文运用Eviews软件对吉林省高校招生人数、GDP及三大产业产值分别进行Granger因果检验,得出吉林省高校扩招在两年滞后期条件下是吉林省第二产业与GDP增长的原因,在三年滞后期条件下是吉林省第三产业增长的原因的结论。
With the continued expansion of enrollment of colleges and universities in Jilin Province, the economy in Jilin Province continued to grow. However, the causal relationship between the changes in enrollment size and economic growth remains to be tested. This paper uses Eviews software Granger causality test of enrollment, GDP and output value of the three major industries in Jilin Province, draws the conclusion that expansion of enrollment of colleges and universities in Jilin Province is the second industry and GDP growth in Jilin Province under the two-year lag period, Under the condition of annual lag, it is the conclusion of the reason of the growth of the tertiary industry in Jilin Province.